Strickland Vs Hernandez

Hernandez dominates grappling stats with 6.46 TD avg vs Strickland's 0.73, 49% TD acc against Strickland's 76% TD def, and 1.79 sub avg vs 0.2; striking efficiency favors Hernandez (63% acc, 2.53 SApM) over Strickland's volume (5.95 SLpM but 4.57 SApM). Hernandez's 9-2 UFC record and 80% finish rate edge Strickland's 16-7 despite experience. Numbers strongly favor Hernandez.

Hernandez's elite grappling and submission threat exploits Strickland's standup preference, as Hernandez can chain takedowns and control from top or hunt subs despite Strickland's solid TD defense. Strickland's pressure boxing thrives at range but Hernandez's 63% striking accuracy allows dangerous entries. Grappler dictates vs boxer, favoring Hernandez.

Hernandez enters on W8 with elite wins over Allen, Pereira, Dolidze, ascending at 32; Strickland L1 to DDP at 34, trajectory declining post-title loss. Hernandez's momentum and camp quality trump Strickland's experience. Narrative heavily favors Hernandez.

Medić's 61% str acc and 3.46 SApM edge Neal's 51% acc and 5.48 SApM absorbed; both low TD but Neal's 88% TD def superior. Medić 100% finish rate in wins, 6-3 UFC vs Neal 7-5; recent KOs boost Medić. Stats lean Medić slightly.

Both power strikers, but Medić's knockout power and aggression vs Neal's countering; Medić orthodox pressure overwhelms Neal's recent defensive lapses. Limited grappling favors standup KO path for Medić.

Medić W2 with quick KOs over Salikhov, Urbina at 32; Neal L3 at 35, declining form. Youth and momentum favor Medić.

Costa superior SLpM 4.42 vs 3.64, lower SApM 3.06 vs 3.56, higher TD avg 1.93/38% vs Ige's 0.89/26%; Costa 6-2 UFC on W5 vs Ige 11-9 L1. Finish rates similar but Costa absorbs less. Numbers favor Costa.

Costa's grappling and volume striking control Ige's bantamweight toughness; Ige durable but Costa mixes takedowns effectively vs Ige's poor TD offense. Costa dictates pace.

Costa W5 with quality wins, 29 ascending; Ige 34 L1 after skid, veteran wear. Momentum strongly Costa.

Spivac's 4.21 TD avg/62% vs Delija's 0 TD in UFC, sub avg 0.5; Spivac 8-6 UFC experience vs Delija 1-1. Striking even but Spivac absorbs more; grappling dominates stats. Favors Spivac.

Spivac grappler smothers striker Delija, who lacks UFC grappling data; Spivac controls cage and hunts subs.

Spivac rebounds from L2 at 31 with prior quality wins; Delija 35 L1 UFC debut struggles. Experience favors Spivac.

Smith 2-0 UFC, 6.21 SLpM/67% acc, 7.42 TD/90%; Harrell no UFC stats, undefeated regionally. Limited data favors Smith's proven metrics.

Smith wrestler-striker vs unknown Harrell; Smith's TD threat controls untested debutant.

Smith W2 UFC at 30; Harrell 27 debut with no data, riskier. Slight edge Smith.

Reese 4-2 UFC W2, taller reach; Pereira 9-5 L3, similar striking but Reese lower SApM. Reese grappling edges. Slight Reese.

Reese's size and wrestling counter Pereira's athleticism; Pereira vulnerable to power.

Reese W2 rising 31; Pereira L3 skid at 32, momentum Reese.

Njokuani 62% acc, 80" reach, 73% TD def vs Leal 51% acc high SApM 7.61; Njokuani 5-4 UFC experience. Stats favor Njokuani.

Njokuani's reach kicking vs Leal's pressure; Njokuani picks apart.

Njokuani 37 rebounds L1; Leal 31 L1 poor UFC. Experience Njokuani.

Osbourne 5-7 UFC experience vs Idris 0-1 debut L; Osbourne volume edges limited data. Favors Osbourne.

Osbourne southpaw experience vs unproven Idris; vet controls.

Osbourne 34 L1 but seasoned; Idris 31 debut post-L. Experience wins.

Coria 1-0 UFC W KO, better def 79%; Gurule 0-1 L KO. Limited, slight Coria.

Coria's TD threat vs Gurule striker; grappling edge.

Coria 27 W1; Gurule 32 L1. Momentum Coria.

Edwards 7-4 UFC higher SLpM 4.73, W3; Cornolle 3-2 L1. Stats favor Edwards.

Edwards volume striker vs Cornolle power; reach edge Edwards.

Edwards W3 recent KOs at 30; Cornolle 36 L1 declining.

Brahimaj 100% finish subs, 1.99 sub avg vs Soriano 0.14; similar records. Grappling favors Brahimaj.

Both wrestle but Brahimaj sub threat higher.

Brahimaj W3 subs; Soriano W2 but prior losses.

Rowe 4-4 UFC, 80" reach; Leb no UFC data. Experience favors Rowe.

Rowe finisher vs debutant; reach controls.

Rowe 35 L1 vet; Leb 27 debut unknown.

Del Valle 2-0 UFC subs, 67% acc, 3.47 sub avg; Leavitt 5-3. Stats favor Del Valle.

Del Valle grappling threat vs Leavitt; subs chain.

Del Valle 10-0 W2; Leavitt mixed at 30.

Judice 2-1 UFC 100% KO wins, high SLpM 10.73; Miller 2-2 mixed. Striking favors Judice.

Judice striker vs Miller grappler; volume overwhelms.

Judice 26 W2 KOs; Miller 29 W1 inconsistent.